30 May 2026 · HBF Park
New South Wales Waratahs at Western Force
New South Wales Waratahs 25 – 31 Western Force · Western Force won. We had Western Force at 69.2%, a draw at 2.9% and New South Wales Waratahs at 27.9%.
Ratings before the game: Western Force 1474, New South Wales Waratahs 1407, plus 85 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 18°C, wind 23 km/h (gusts 45), rain 0.4 mm/h.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Western Force | Draw | New South Wales Waratahs |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 69.2% | 2.9% | 27.9% |
| Polymarket | 59.4% | 4.0% | 36.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: New South Wales Waratahs LLLWL, Western Force WWLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | Western Force at New South Wales Waratahs | 20–17 | 40% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won New South Wales Waratahs at Western Force?
Western Force won 31–25 on 30 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Western Force 69%.