United Rugby Championship

Cardiff Blues

Rated 1544 (No. 8 of 16), 3–2 this season, 2% to win the URC title.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

83%
Make play-offs
25%
Semi-final
7%
Reach final
2%
Win title
23.5
Projected points

Rating

Cardiff Blues is rated 1544, No. 8 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayDrawHome
5 Dec 2026Ulster at Cardiff Blues29%3%68%
19 Dec 2026Dragons at Cardiff Blues16%2%83%

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
31 Oct 2026Cardiff Blues at Ospreys26–025%

Questions and answers

What is Cardiff Blues' chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?

2%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Cardiff Blues are No. 8 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Cardiff Blues play next, and what are their chances?

Ulster at Cardiff Blues on 5 December 2026 at Cardiff Arms Park. PodiumOracle's model gives Cardiff Blues 68%, a draw 3%.