United Rugby Championship
Dragons
Rated 1393 (No. 14 of 16), 2–2–1 this season, <1% to win the URC title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 24%
- Make play-offs
- 3%
- Semi-final
- 1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win title
- 18.7
- Projected points
Rating
Dragons is rated 1393, No. 14 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2026 | Dragons at Edinburgh | 20% | 2% | 77% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Dragons at Cardiff Blues | 16% | 2% | 83% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Zebre at Dragons | 14–35 | 82% |
Questions and answers
What is Dragons' chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Dragons are No. 14 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Dragons play next, and what are their chances?
Dragons at Edinburgh on 4 December 2026 at Hive Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Dragons 20%, a draw 2%.