United Rugby Championship
Lions
Rated 1512 (No. 10 of 16), 2–3 this season, 0% to win the URC title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- <1%
- Make play-offs
- <1%
- Semi-final
- <1%
- Reach final
- 0%
- Win title
- 12.0
- Projected points
Rating
Lions is rated 1512, No. 10 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2026 | Bulls at Lions | 56% | 3% | 40% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Lions at Stormers | 13% | 2% | 85% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Lions at Glasgow Warriors | 20–29 | 87% |
Questions and answers
What is Lions' chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Lions are No. 10 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Lions play next, and what are their chances?
Bulls at Lions on 5 December 2026 at Ellis Park. PodiumOracle's model gives Lions 40%, a draw 3%.