United Rugby Championship
Ospreys
Rated 1464 (No. 12 of 16), 2–3 this season, <1% to win the URC title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 19%
- Make play-offs
- 2%
- Semi-final
- 1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win title
- 17.4
- Projected points
Rating
Ospreys is rated 1464, No. 12 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2026 | Leinster at Ospreys | 75% | 3% | 23% |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Ospreys at Ulster | 23% | 3% | 74% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Cardiff Blues at Ospreys | 26–0 | 25% |
Questions and answers
What is Ospreys' chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Ospreys are No. 12 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Ospreys play next, and what are their chances?
Leinster at Ospreys on 4 December 2026 at St Helen's Rugby and Cricket Ground. PodiumOracle's model gives Ospreys 23%, a draw 3%.