United Rugby Championship
Scarlets
Rated 1351 (No. 15 of 16), 1–4 this season, <1% to win the URC title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 1%
- Make play-offs
- <1%
- Semi-final
- <1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win title
- 13.0
- Projected points
Rating
Scarlets is rated 1351, No. 15 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2026 | Connacht at Scarlets | 59% | 3% | 37% |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Scarlets at Munster | 13% | 2% | 86% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Scarlets at Bulls | 26–54 | 93% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Scarlets at Stormers | 40–52 | 92% |
Questions and answers
What is Scarlets' chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Scarlets are No. 15 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Scarlets play next, and what are their chances?
Connacht at Scarlets on 5 December 2026 at Parc y Scarlets. PodiumOracle's model gives Scarlets 37%, a draw 3%.