United Rugby Championship
Ulster
Rated 1528 (No. 9 of 16), 0–3–2 this season, <1% to win the URC title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 13%
- Make play-offs
- 2%
- Semi-final
- 1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win title
- 17.0
- Projected points
Rating
Ulster is rated 1528, No. 9 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2026 | Ulster at Cardiff Blues | 29% | 3% | 68% |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Ospreys at Ulster | 23% | 3% | 74% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Ulster at Stormers | 7–33 | 81% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Ulster at Bulls | 26–34 | 81% |
Questions and answers
What is Ulster's chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Ulster is No. 9 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Ulster play next, and what are their chances?
Ulster at Cardiff Blues on 5 December 2026 at Cardiff Arms Park. PodiumOracle's model gives Ulster 29%, a draw 3%.