Cricket · Road to 2028 season
ICC Women's T20 World Cup forecasts
Win probabilities for every match from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Women's T20 World Cup odds. Favourite right now: Australia, 51%.
Live and upcoming
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | Rwanda vs Uganda | RWA Women won by 18 runs | 42% |
| 10 Nov 2026 | Namibia vs Uganda | NAM Women won by 4 runs | 41% |
| 10 Nov 2026 | United States of America vs Rwanda | RWA Women won by 2 runs | 50% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | United States of America vs Uganda | UGA Women won by 7 wkts (28b rem) | 49% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Rwanda vs Namibia | NAM Women won by 39 runs | 37% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Rwanda vs Uganda | UGA Women won by 6 runs | 37% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | United States of America vs Namibia | NAM Women won by 8 runs | 27% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | United States of America vs Rwanda | RWA Women won by 14 runs | 37% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | Namibia vs Uganda | UGA Women won by 4 wkts (3b rem) | 49% |
Chance of winning the Women's T20 World Cup
| Nation | Semi-final | Reach final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 94% | 69% | 51% |
| India | 78% | 44% | 20% |
| England | 76% | 42% | 19% |
| South Africa | 60% | 24% | 7% |
| Sri Lanka | 26% | 7% | 2% |
| West Indies | 19% | 4% | 1% |
| New Zealand | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Ireland | 13% | 3% | <1% |
| Pakistan | 13% | 2% | <1% |
| Scotland | 6% | 1% | <1% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the Road to 2028 Women's T20 World Cup?
Australia, at 51%, ahead of India (20%), England (19%) and South Africa (7%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next ICC Women's T20 World Cup matches?
According to PodiumOracle's model: United States of America vs Namibia (11 November 2026): Namibia 61%; Sri Lanka vs Ireland (12 November 2026): Sri Lanka 65%; Scotland vs Papua New Guinea (12 November 2026): Scotland 74%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's ICC Women's T20 World Cup predictions?
On 1,372 games from held-back seasons (Road to 2024 to Road to 2028), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 72% of the time. Its log loss was 0.549, against 0.702 for the base rate and 0.624 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.485 against the bookmakers' 0.386 over 30 games (lower is better).
How are the ICC Women's T20 World Cup predictions made?
Every nation has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Women's T20 World Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.