Round 12 · 30 May 2026 · Docklands
Collingwood at Western Bulldogs
Collingwood 93 – 97 Western Bulldogs · Western Bulldogs won. We had Western Bulldogs at 52.4%, a draw at 1.7% and Collingwood at 45.9%.
Ratings before the game: Western Bulldogs 1526, Collingwood 1559, plus 55 for playing at home.
The betting market (no-vig line) had Western Bulldogs at 60.5%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Western Bulldogs | Draw | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 52.4% | 1.7% | 45.9% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 63.7% | 0.0% | 36.3% |
| Kalshi | 63.0% | 0.0% | 37.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Collingwood WDLLW, Western Bulldogs LLWLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | Collingwood at Western Bulldogs | 93–96 | 54% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Collingwood at Western Bulldogs?
Western Bulldogs won 97–93 on 30 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Western Bulldogs 52%.