Round 14 · 11 Jun 2026 · Docklands
Adelaide at Western Bulldogs
Adelaide 121 – 64 Western Bulldogs · Adelaide won. We had Western Bulldogs at 54.0%, a draw at 1.7% and Adelaide at 44.3%.
Ratings before the game: Western Bulldogs 1561, Adelaide 1581, plus 55 for playing at home.
The betting market (no-vig line) had Western Bulldogs at 55.5%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Western Bulldogs | Draw | Adelaide |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 54.0% | 1.7% | 44.3% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 57.9% | 0.0% | 42.1% |
| Kalshi | 58.5% | 0.0% | 41.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Adelaide WWWLW, Western Bulldogs WLWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | Western Bulldogs at Adelaide | 94–88 | 43% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Western Bulldogs at Adelaide | 68–90 | 67% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Adelaide at Western Bulldogs?
Adelaide won 121–64 on 11 June 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Adelaide 44%.