Richmond

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

4%

Finals (top ten)

2%

Past the wildcard round

<1%

Top four

<1%

Preliminary final

<1%

Grand final

<1%

Premiership

25.5

Projected points

Richmond is rated 1210, No. 17 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.