7 Nov 2026 · Canada Life Centre
Toronto Marlies at Manitoba Moose
Marlies 1 – 2 Moose · Manitoba Moose won. We had Manitoba Moose at 52.1% and Toronto Marlies at 47.9%.
Ratings before the game: Moose 1501, Marlies 1516, plus 30 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Moose | Marlies |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| Polymarket | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Kalshi | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Toronto Marlies LLWLW, Manitoba Moose WWLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Toronto Marlies at Manitoba Moose | 3–4 | 53% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2027 | Manitoba Moose at Toronto Marlies | 45% | 55% |
| 31 Mar 2027 | Manitoba Moose at Toronto Marlies | 45% | 55% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Toronto Marlies at Manitoba Moose?
Manitoba Moose won 2–1 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Manitoba Moose 52%.