7 Nov 2026 · Canada Life Centre
Toronto Marlies at Manitoba Moose
Marlies 3 – 4 Moose · Manitoba Moose won. We had Manitoba Moose at 52.8% and Toronto Marlies at 47.2%.
Ratings before the game: Moose 1503, Marlies 1514, plus 30 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Moose | Marlies |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Polymarket | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Kalshi | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Toronto Marlies LWLWL, Manitoba Moose WLLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Toronto Marlies at Manitoba Moose | 1–2 | 52% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2027 | Manitoba Moose at Toronto Marlies | 45% | 55% |
| 31 Mar 2027 | Manitoba Moose at Toronto Marlies | 45% | 55% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Toronto Marlies at Manitoba Moose?
Manitoba Moose won 4–3 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Manitoba Moose 53%.