17 May 2026 · Arena Barueri
Cruzeiro at Palmeiras
Cruzeiro 1 – 1 Palmeiras · Draw. We had Palmeiras at 63.3%, a draw at 22.6% and Cruzeiro at 14.0%.
Ratings before the game: Palmeiras 1648, Cruzeiro 1538, plus 95 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 17°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 14), rain 0.5 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Palmeiras at 49.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Palmeiras | Draw | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 63.3% | 22.6% | 14.0% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 50.6% | 27.4% | 22.0% |
| Polymarket | 49.3% | 28.4% | 22.4% |
| Kalshi | 50.0% | 27.5% | 22.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Cruzeiro WWWLW, Palmeiras DWWDD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2026 | Palmeiras at Cruzeiro | 35% | 31% | 35% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Cruzeiro at Palmeiras?
It was a 1–1 draw on 17 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 23%.