Week 10 · 7 Nov 2026 · Davis Wade Stadium
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Vanderbilt 25 – 23 Mississippi State · Vanderbilt won. We had Mississippi State at 60.2% and Vanderbilt at 39.8%.
Ratings before the game: Mississippi State 1991, Vanderbilt 1964, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 15°C, wind 14 km/h (gusts 22).
The betting market (closing spread) had Mississippi State at 57.7%, spread -3.0.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Mississippi State | Vanderbilt |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| Polymarket | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Kalshi | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Vanderbilt LLLLL, Mississippi State WLLLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Vanderbilt at Mississippi State?
Vanderbilt won 25–23 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Vanderbilt 40%.