PodiumOracle College football

American football · 2026 season

College football forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the national championship odds. Favourite right now: Indiana, 24%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeAway
25 Sep 2026Howard at Rutgers93%7%
25 Sep 2026Navy at UAB21%79%
26 Sep 2026Northwestern at Indiana96%4%
26 Sep 2026Clemson at California21%79%
26 Sep 2026Texas at Tennessee26%74%
26 Sep 2026Sam Houston at Texas Tech99%1%
26 Sep 2026Colorado at Baylor73%27%
26 Sep 2026Bucknell at Pittsburgh99%1%
26 Sep 2026Virginia Tech at Boston College37%63%
26 Sep 2026Wake Forest at Louisville79%21%
26 Sep 2026Illinois at Ohio State92%8%
26 Sep 2026San Diego State at Toledo65%35%
26 Sep 2026Colorado State at UTSA85%15%
26 Sep 2026UNLV at Akron24%76%
26 Sep 2026Ball State at Kent State67%33%
26 Sep 2026South Alabama at Kentucky85%15%
26 Sep 2026Lindenwood at Eastern Michigan76%24%
26 Sep 2026UCLA at Maryland38%62%
26 Sep 2026Notre Dame at Purdue2%98%
26 Sep 2026Northern Illinois at Georgia State61%39%
26 Sep 2026Central Arkansas at Florida State92%8%
26 Sep 2026Hawai'i at Wyoming30%70%
26 Sep 2026Ole Miss at Florida19%81%
26 Sep 2026Oklahoma at Georgia85%15%
26 Sep 2026TCU at UCF26%74%
26 Sep 2026Utah at Iowa State29%71%
26 Sep 2026William & Mary at Duke99%1%
26 Sep 2026Iowa at Michigan57%43%
26 Sep 2026Boise State at Western Michigan49%51%
26 Sep 2026UConn at Miami (OH)45%55%
26 Sep 2026New Mexico at New Mexico State13%87%
26 Sep 2026Robert Morris at Buffalo86%14%
26 Sep 2026Stonehill at Ohio98%2%
26 Sep 2026Gardner-Webb at Marshall90%10%
26 Sep 2026Houston at Georgia Southern30%70%
26 Sep 2026North Carolina Central at East Carolina96%4%
26 Sep 2026Vanderbilt at Auburn25%75%
26 Sep 2026Nebraska at Michigan State36%64%
26 Sep 2026Wisconsin at Penn State87%13%
26 Sep 2026South Florida at Bowling Green9%91%
26 Sep 2026Delaware at Virginia85%15%
26 Sep 2026Incarnate Word at Texas State93%7%
26 Sep 2026Long Island University at Florida International91%9%
26 Sep 2026James Madison at Old Dominion26%74%
26 Sep 2026Central Michigan at Miami98%2%
26 Sep 2026Louisiana at Charlotte16%84%
26 Sep 2026South Carolina at Alabama92%8%
26 Sep 2026Kansas State at Cincinnati34%66%
26 Sep 2026Oklahoma State at West Virginia85%15%
26 Sep 2026Southern Miss at Tulane90%10%
26 Sep 2026Kennesaw State at Arkansas State69%31%
26 Sep 2026Mercyhurst at Western Kentucky90%10%
26 Sep 2026Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State82%18%
26 Sep 2026Texas A&M at LSU55%45%
26 Sep 2026Arizona at Washington State28%72%
26 Sep 2026Oregon at USC48%52%
26 Sep 2026Troy at Utah State36%64%
26 Sep 2026Houston Christian at North Texas98%2%
26 Sep 2026App State at NC State79%21%
26 Sep 2026Missouri at Mississippi State43%57%
27 Sep 2026Tulsa at Arkansas79%21%
27 Sep 2026Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe22%78%
27 Sep 2026Missouri State at SMU95%5%
27 Sep 2026Oregon State at UTEP34%66%
27 Sep 2026Massachusetts at Sacramento State69%31%
27 Sep 2026Rice at Fresno State86%14%
27 Sep 2026Georgia Tech at Stanford43%57%
27 Sep 2026Air Force at Nevada46%54%
27 Sep 2026Minnesota at Washington82%18%
2 Oct 2026Western Kentucky at New Mexico State34%66%
2 Oct 2026North Texas at Tulsa22%78%
2 Oct 2026Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech42%58%
2 Oct 2026Liberty at Delaware53%47%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
25 Sep 2026Army at Temple21–1767%
24 Sep 2026Liberty at Coastal Carolina34–1744%
20 Sep 2026Purdue at UCLA38–5283%
20 Sep 2026Montana at Oregon State17–5216%
20 Sep 2026Fresno State at San José State26–1073%
20 Sep 2026Northern Illinois at Arizona17–4295%
20 Sep 2026North Dakota State at Sacramento State31–1092%
20 Sep 2026South Dakota at Boise State24–3876%
20 Sep 2026James Madison at San Diego State26–1378%
20 Sep 2026UTSA at Texas6–3093%
20 Sep 2026Arkansas State at TCU7–3184%
20 Sep 2026East Texas A&M at Tulsa0–4291%

Chance of winning the national championship

Every team

TeamBest record in conferenceMake playoffFirst-round byeSemifinalTitle gameWin title
Indiana65%91%59%59%39%24%
Georgia55%80%43%48%30%18%
Notre Dame99%92%54%48%26%13%
Miami85%89%45%44%24%11%
Texas28%72%31%36%20%10%
Ohio State8%37%7%18%11%6%
Texas Tech48%85%37%28%10%3%
Ole Miss4%25%4%11%6%3%
Alabama5%28%3%10%5%2%
Penn State14%55%12%13%4%1%