2026 season odds
The rest of the season played 10,000 times from today's ratings, then the national championship decided by the league's own format.
Every team
| Team | Best record in conference | Make playoff | First-round bye | Semifinal | Title game | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 65% | 91% | 59% | 59% | 39% | 24% |
| Georgia | 55% | 80% | 43% | 48% | 30% | 18% |
| Notre Dame | 99% | 92% | 54% | 48% | 26% | 13% |
| Miami | 85% | 89% | 45% | 44% | 24% | 11% |
| Texas | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 10% |
| Ohio State | 8% | 37% | 7% | 18% | 11% | 6% |
| Texas Tech | 48% | 85% | 37% | 28% | 10% | 3% |
| Ole Miss | 4% | 25% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 3% |
| Alabama | 5% | 28% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Penn State | 14% | 55% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| Utah | 27% | 55% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 1% |
| Iowa | 5% | 34% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Oregon | 1% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| BYU | 12% | 38% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| North Dakota State | 90% | 83% | 36% | 14% | 3% | 1% |
| Michigan | 2% | 18% | 2% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| James Madison | 90% | 71% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| USC | 2% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Vanderbilt | 2% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Tennessee | 3% | 13% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Louisville | 5% | 18% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Washington | 1% | 9% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Duke | 3% | 11% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Kansas State | 10% | 26% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Oklahoma | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SMU | 4% | 14% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| South Florida | 58% | 33% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Missouri | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Western Michigan | 57% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LSU | <1% | <1% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Toledo | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| New Mexico | 9% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| UTSA | 14% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Liberty | 42% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Louisiana | 3% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Boise State | 55% | 2% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Jacksonville State | 31% | <1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Memphis | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Pittsburgh | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Army | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| UConn | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| App State | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Houston | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Troy | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Tulane | 4% | 1% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Fresno State | 31% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| West Virginia | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| UCLA | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Navy | 4% | 1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Clemson | <1% | 1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Virginia Tech | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Arizona State | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Ohio | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Iowa State | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Arizona | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| UNLV | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Delaware | 15% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nebraska | <1% | 1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Old Dominion | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Marshall | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| TCU | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| South Alabama | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Illinois | <1% | 1% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| East Carolina | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| North Texas | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Florida | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| NC State | <1% | <1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Arkansas State | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Central Michigan | 2% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wisconsin | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Miami (OH) | 2% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Northwestern | <1% | <1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Air Force | <1% | <1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Kentucky | <1% | <1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Texas A&M | <1% | <1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Cincinnati | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Hawai'i | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Massachusetts | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tulsa | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Baylor | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Texas State | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| San José State | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Louisiana Tech | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wake Forest | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Florida International | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Middle Tennessee | 3% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mississippi State | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Florida Atlantic | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UCF | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Southern | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kennesaw State | 3% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Minnesota | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Michigan State | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Washington State | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Missouri State | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Maryland | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia State | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| San Diego State | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| California | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| North Carolina | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Tech | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kent State | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| South Carolina | 0% | <1% | 0% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Colorado State | 2% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Colorado | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Buffalo | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nevada | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sacramento State | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Akron | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Western Kentucky | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Boston College | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Temple | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oregon State | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kansas | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Auburn | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oklahoma State | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ball State | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UTEP | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sam Houston | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wyoming | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| New Mexico State | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Southern Miss | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Florida State | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Arkansas | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stanford | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Coastal Carolina | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rice | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Northern Illinois | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UAB | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bowling Green | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Syracuse | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Utah State | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Purdue | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UL Monroe | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rutgers | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Charlotte | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |