Week 10 · 7 Nov 2026 · TDECU Stadium
Cincinnati at Houston
Cincinnati 24 – 31 Houston · Houston won. We had Houston at 72.4% and Cincinnati at 27.6%.
Ratings before the game: Houston 2112, Cincinnati 1990, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 27°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 13).
The betting market (closing spread) had Houston at 74.1%, spread -10.0.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Houston | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 76.8% | 23.2% |
| Polymarket | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Kalshi | 77.0% | 23.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Cincinnati WLLWL, Houston WWWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Cincinnati at Houston?
Houston won 31–24 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Houston 72%.