Week 10 · 7 Nov 2026 · TDECU Stadium

Cincinnati at Houston

Cincinnati 24 – 31 Houston · Houston won. We had Houston at 72.4% and Cincinnati at 27.6%.

Ratings before the game: Houston 2112, Cincinnati 1990, plus 45 for playing at home.

Weather during the game: 27°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 13).

The betting market (closing spread) had Houston at 74.1%, spread -10.0.

What the markets said before the start

Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.

SourceHoustonCincinnati
The model72.4%27.6%
Bookmakers (3 books)76.8%23.2%
Polymarket77.5%22.5%
Kalshi77.0%23.0%

Form coming in

Last five results before this game: Cincinnati WLLWL, Houston WWWWL.

The teams

Questions and answers

Who won Cincinnati at Houston?

Houston won 31–24 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Houston 72%.