Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Jack Trice Stadium
Cincinnati at Iowa State
We have Iowa State at 55.4% and Cincinnati at 44.6%.
Ratings going in: Iowa State 1962, Cincinnati 1969, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 7°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 3).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Iowa State | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| Polymarket | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Kalshi | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Cincinnati LLWLL, Iowa State WLLWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Cincinnati at Iowa State?
PodiumOracle's model makes Iowa State the favourite at 55%, with Cincinnati at 45%. The markets give Iowa State 59% on Polymarket, 58% on Kalshi and 58% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 55% favourite still loses 45% of the time.
When and where is Cincinnati at Iowa State?
14 November 2026, at Jack Trice Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.