Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Folsom Field
Houston at Colorado
We have Colorado at 12.3% and Houston at 87.7%.
Ratings going in: Colorado 1747, Houston 2133, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 8°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 9).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Colorado | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 12.3% | 87.7% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 23.7% | 76.3% |
| Polymarket | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Kalshi | 22.0% | 78.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Houston WWWLW, Colorado LLLWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Houston at Colorado?
PodiumOracle's model makes Houston the favourite at 88%, with Colorado at 12%. The markets give Houston 78% on Polymarket, 77% on Kalshi and 76% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 88% favourite still loses 12% of the time.
When and where is Houston at Colorado?
14 November 2026, at Folsom Field (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.