Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Kansas State at TCU
We have TCU at 71.1% and Kansas State at 28.9%.
Ratings going in: TCU 1942, Kansas State 1831, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 19°C, wind 18 km/h (gusts 21).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | TCU | Kansas State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 76.9% | 23.1% |
| Polymarket | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Kalshi | 77.5% | 22.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Kansas State LWLLL, TCU LWLWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Kansas State at TCU?
PodiumOracle's model makes TCU the favourite at 71%, with Kansas State at 29%. The markets give TCU 78% on Polymarket, 78% on Kalshi and 77% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 71% favourite still loses 29% of the time.
When and where is Kansas State at TCU?
14 November 2026, at Amon G. Carter Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.