Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · Razorback Stadium
South Carolina at Arkansas
We have Arkansas at 16.5% and South Carolina at 83.5%.
Ratings going in: Arkansas 1892, South Carolina 2219, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 6°C, wind 16 km/h (gusts 33).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Arkansas | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Polymarket | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| Kalshi | 27.0% | 73.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: South Carolina LWWWW, Arkansas LLWLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win South Carolina at Arkansas?
PodiumOracle's model makes South Carolina the favourite at 84%, with Arkansas at 16%. The markets give South Carolina 74% on Polymarket, 74% on Kalshi and 73% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 84% favourite still loses 16% of the time.
When and where is South Carolina at Arkansas?
15 November 2026, at Razorback Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.