Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Kroger Field
Florida at Kentucky
We have Kentucky at 65.5% and Florida at 34.5%.
Ratings going in: Kentucky 2103, Florida 2037, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 8°C, wind 16 km/h (gusts 19).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Kentucky | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Polymarket | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Kalshi | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Florida LLWLL, Kentucky WWWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Florida at Kentucky?
PodiumOracle's model makes Kentucky the favourite at 65%, with Florida at 35%. The markets give Kentucky 61% on Polymarket, 61% on Kalshi and 61% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 65% favourite still loses 35% of the time.
When and where is Florida at Kentucky?
14 November 2026, at Kroger Field (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.