Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Davis Wade Stadium
Auburn at Mississippi State
We have Mississippi State at 37.7% and Auburn at 62.3%.
Ratings going in: Mississippi State 1965, Auburn 2097, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 11°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 11).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Mississippi State | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| Polymarket | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Kalshi | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Auburn LWLLW, Mississippi State LLLLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Auburn at Mississippi State?
PodiumOracle's model makes Auburn the favourite at 62%, with Mississippi State at 38%. The markets give Auburn 56% on Polymarket, 57% on Kalshi and 56% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 62% favourite still loses 38% of the time.
When and where is Auburn at Mississippi State?
14 November 2026, at Davis Wade Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.