Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Acrisure Stadium
Florida State at Pittsburgh
We have Pittsburgh at 57.4% and Florida State at 42.6%.
Ratings going in: Pittsburgh 1922, Florida State 1915, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 4°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 21).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Pittsburgh | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Polymarket | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Kalshi | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Florida State WLLLW, Pittsburgh WLLLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Florida State at Pittsburgh?
PodiumOracle's model makes Pittsburgh the favourite at 57%, with Florida State at 43%. The markets give Pittsburgh 61% on Polymarket, 60% on Kalshi and 60% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 57% favourite still loses 43% of the time.
When and where is Florida State at Pittsburgh?
14 November 2026, at Acrisure Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.