Week 10 · 8 Nov 2026 · Michigan Stadium
Michigan State at Michigan
Michigan State 15 – 6 Michigan · Michigan State won. We had Michigan at 93.2% and Michigan State at 6.8%.
Ratings before the game: Michigan 2198, Michigan State 1788, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 4°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 13).
The betting market (closing spread) had Michigan at 81.7%, spread -14.0.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Michigan | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 93.2% | 6.8% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Polymarket | 84.5% | 15.5% |
| Kalshi | 85.0% | 15.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Michigan State LLLLL, Michigan LLWLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Michigan State at Michigan?
Michigan State won 15–6 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Michigan State 7%.