Week 10 · 8 Nov 2026 · Ryan Field
Iowa at Northwestern
Iowa 24 – 10 Northwestern · Iowa won. We had Northwestern at 36.2% and Iowa at 63.8%.
Ratings before the game: Northwestern 2077, Iowa 2220, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 6°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 23).
The betting market (closing spread) had Northwestern at 42.3%, spread +3.0.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Northwestern | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Polymarket | 41.5% | 58.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Iowa WLWLW, Northwestern WWWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Iowa at Northwestern?
Iowa won 24–10 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Iowa 64%.