Week 10 · 7 Nov 2026 · Ohio Stadium
Oregon at Ohio State
Oregon 41 – 28 Ohio State · Oregon won. We had Ohio State at 75.8% and Oregon at 24.2%.
Ratings before the game: Ohio State 2412, Oregon 2258, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 20).
The betting market (closing spread) had Ohio State at 68.6%, spread -7.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Ohio State | Oregon |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 73.4% | 26.6% |
| Polymarket | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| Kalshi | 72.0% | 28.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Oregon WLWLW, Ohio State WWWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Oregon at Ohio State?
Oregon won 41–28 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Oregon 24%.