Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
USC at Indiana
We have Indiana at 82.7% and USC at 17.3%.
Ratings going in: Indiana 2472, USC 2246, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 7°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 14).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Indiana | USC |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 82.7% | 17.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Polymarket | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| Kalshi | 76.0% | 24.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: USC LWWLW, Indiana WWLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win USC at Indiana?
PodiumOracle's model makes Indiana the favourite at 83%, with USC at 17%. The markets give Indiana 77% on Polymarket, 77% on Kalshi and 72% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 83% favourite still loses 17% of the time.
When and where is USC at Indiana?
14 November 2026, at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.