Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · Kinnick Stadium
Purdue at Iowa
We have Iowa at 95.3% and Purdue at 4.7%.
Ratings going in: Iowa 2256, Purdue 1776, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 1°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 9).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Iowa | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 95.3% | 4.7% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 87.1% | 12.9% |
| Polymarket | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Kalshi | 88.5% | 11.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Purdue WWLLL, Iowa LWLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Purdue at Iowa?
PodiumOracle's model makes Iowa the favourite at 95%, with Purdue at 5%. The markets give Iowa 88% on Polymarket, 89% on Kalshi and 87% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 95% favourite still loses 5% of the time.
When and where is Purdue at Iowa?
15 November 2026, at Kinnick Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.