Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · SECU Stadium
Wisconsin at Maryland
We have Maryland at 16.6% and Wisconsin at 83.5%.
Ratings going in: Maryland 1770, Wisconsin 2096, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 9°C, wind 21 km/h (gusts 34).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Maryland | Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 16.6% | 83.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 26.3% | 73.7% |
| Polymarket | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Kalshi | 25.5% | 74.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Wisconsin WLWLW, Maryland LLLLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Wisconsin at Maryland?
PodiumOracle's model makes Wisconsin the favourite at 83%, with Maryland at 17%. The markets give Wisconsin 75% on Polymarket, 75% on Kalshi and 74% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 83% favourite still loses 17% of the time.
When and where is Wisconsin at Maryland?
14 November 2026, at SECU Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.