Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Spartan Stadium
Washington at Michigan State
We have Michigan State at 29.7% and Washington at 70.3%.
Ratings going in: Michigan State 1891, Washington 2086, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 3°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 10).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Michigan State | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Polymarket | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Kalshi | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Washington LLWWL, Michigan State LLLLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Washington at Michigan State?
PodiumOracle's model makes Washington the favourite at 70%, with Michigan State at 30%. The markets give Washington 62% on Polymarket, 62% on Kalshi and 61% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 70% favourite still loses 30% of the time.
When and where is Washington at Michigan State?
14 November 2026, at Spartan Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.