Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Autzen Stadium
Michigan at Oregon
We have Oregon at 84.4% and Michigan at 15.6%.
Ratings going in: Oregon 2342, Michigan 2095, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 14°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 25).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Oregon | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 84.4% | 15.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 78.6% | 21.3% |
| Polymarket | 79.5% | 20.5% |
| Kalshi | 78.5% | 21.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Michigan LWLWL, Oregon LWLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Michigan at Oregon?
PodiumOracle's model makes Oregon the favourite at 84%, with Michigan at 16%. The markets give Oregon 80% on Polymarket, 80% on Kalshi and 79% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 84% favourite still loses 16% of the time.
When and where is Michigan at Oregon?
14 November 2026, at Autzen Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.