Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · Beaver Stadium
Minnesota at Penn State
We have Penn State at 76.6% and Minnesota at 23.4%.
Ratings going in: Penn State 2114, Minnesota 1953, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 1°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 35).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Penn State | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 76.6% | 23.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Polymarket | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Kalshi | 74.0% | 26.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Minnesota WLWLL, Penn State LLLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Minnesota at Penn State?
PodiumOracle's model makes Penn State the favourite at 77%, with Minnesota at 23%. The markets give Penn State 76% on Polymarket, 75% on Kalshi and 75% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 77% favourite still loses 23% of the time.
When and where is Minnesota at Penn State?
15 November 2026, at Beaver Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.