Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Rose Bowl
Illinois at UCLA
We have UCLA at 64.6% and Illinois at 35.4%.
Ratings going in: UCLA 2179, Illinois 2119, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 18°C, wind 9 km/h (gusts 10).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | UCLA | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Polymarket | 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Kalshi | 77.0% | 23.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Illinois LWWWW, UCLA WWWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Illinois at UCLA?
PodiumOracle's model makes UCLA the favourite at 65%, with Illinois at 35%. The markets give UCLA 78% on Polymarket, 77% on Kalshi and 77% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 65% favourite still loses 35% of the time.
When and where is Illinois at UCLA?
14 November 2026, at Rose Bowl (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.