Week 10 · 8 Nov 2026 · Reser Stadium
Texas State at Oregon State
Texas State 42 – 21 Oregon State · Texas State won. We had Oregon State at 43.6% and Texas State at 56.4%.
Ratings before the game: Oregon State 1774, Texas State 1863, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 16°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 45), rain 0.2 mm/h.
The betting market (closing spread) had Oregon State at 60.2%, spread -4.0.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Oregon State | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| Polymarket | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Kalshi | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Texas State WLWWL, Oregon State WWWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Texas State at Oregon State?
Texas State won 42–21 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Texas State 56%.