Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · Snapdragon Stadium
Utah State at San Diego State
We have San Diego State at 50.7% and Utah State at 49.3%.
Ratings going in: San Diego State 1677, Utah State 1717, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 19°C, wind 12 km/h (gusts 17).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | San Diego State | Utah State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Polymarket | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Kalshi | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Utah State LWLWW, San Diego State WLWLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Utah State at San Diego State?
PodiumOracle's model makes San Diego State the favourite at 51%, with Utah State at 49%. The markets give San Diego State 44% on Polymarket, 43% on Kalshi and 44% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 51% favourite still loses 49% of the time.
When and where is Utah State at San Diego State?
15 November 2026, at Snapdragon Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.