Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
James Madison at UConn
We have UConn at 22.3% and James Madison at 77.7%.
Ratings going in: UConn 1678, James Madison 1940, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 7°C, wind 18 km/h (gusts 24).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | UConn | James Madison |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 22.3% | 77.7% |
| Polymarket | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Kalshi | 35.5% | 64.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: James Madison WWLLW, UConn LWWLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win James Madison at UConn?
PodiumOracle's model makes James Madison the favourite at 78%, with UConn at 22%. The markets give James Madison 64% on Polymarket and 65% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 78% favourite still loses 22% of the time.
When and where is James Madison at UConn?
14 November 2026, at Pratt & Whitney Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.