Week 11 · 13 Nov 2026 · Raymond James Stadium
Memphis at South Florida
We have South Florida at 46.8% and Memphis at 53.2%.
Ratings going in: South Florida 1816, Memphis 1883, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 22°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 19).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | South Florida | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 39.1% | 61.0% |
| Polymarket | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Kalshi | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Memphis WWLWW, South Florida LLWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Memphis at South Florida?
PodiumOracle's model makes Memphis the favourite at 53%, with South Florida at 47%. The markets give Memphis 62% on Polymarket, 62% on Kalshi and 61% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 53% favourite still loses 47% of the time.
When and where is Memphis at South Florida?
13 November 2026, at Raymond James Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.