Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
East Carolina at Charlotte
We have Charlotte at 13.4% and East Carolina at 86.6%.
Ratings going in: Charlotte 1394, East Carolina 1763, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 11°C, wind 18 km/h (gusts 23).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Charlotte | East Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 13.4% | 86.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Polymarket | 20.5% | 79.5% |
| Kalshi | 19.5% | 80.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: East Carolina WLLWW, Charlotte LLWLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win East Carolina at Charlotte?
PodiumOracle's model makes East Carolina the favourite at 87%, with Charlotte at 13%. The markets give East Carolina 80% on Polymarket, 81% on Kalshi and 79% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 87% favourite still loses 13% of the time.
When and where is East Carolina at Charlotte?
14 November 2026, at Jerry Richardson Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.