Week 10 · 8 Nov 2026 · Sun Bowl
Hawai'i at UTEP
Hawai'i 17 – 14 UTEP · Hawai'i won. We had UTEP at 21.6% and Hawai'i at 78.4%.
Ratings before the game: UTEP 1310, Hawai'i 1579, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 12°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 20).
The betting market (closing spread) had UTEP at 32.6%, spread +7.0.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | UTEP | Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 21.6% | 78.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 28.8% | 71.2% |
| Polymarket | 27.5% | 72.5% |
| Kalshi | 25.5% | 74.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Hawai'i LLLLW, UTEP LLLLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Hawai'i at UTEP?
Hawai'i won 17–14 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Hawai'i 78%.