Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Huskie Stadium
Nevada at Northern Illinois
We have Northern Illinois at 21.5% and Nevada at 78.5%.
Ratings going in: Northern Illinois 1319, Nevada 1589, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 5°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 14).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Northern Illinois | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 21.5% | 78.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 29.4% | 70.6% |
| Polymarket | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Kalshi | 28.5% | 71.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Nevada WLWLL, Northern Illinois LLLLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Nevada at Northern Illinois?
PodiumOracle's model makes Nevada the favourite at 79%, with Northern Illinois at 21%. The markets give Nevada 72% on Polymarket, 72% on Kalshi and 71% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 79% favourite still loses 21% of the time.
When and where is Nevada at Northern Illinois?
14 November 2026, at Huskie Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.