Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
North Dakota State at Hawai'i
We have Hawai'i at 18.6% and North Dakota State at 81.4%.
Ratings going in: Hawai'i 1589, North Dakota State 1891, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 23°C, wind 22 km/h (gusts 57), rain 0.1 mm/h.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Hawai'i | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 18.6% | 81.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 31.6% | 68.3% |
| Polymarket | 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Kalshi | 31.0% | 69.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: North Dakota State WLWLW, Hawai'i LLLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win North Dakota State at Hawai'i?
PodiumOracle's model makes North Dakota State the favourite at 81%, with Hawai'i at 19%. The markets give North Dakota State 69% on Polymarket, 70% on Kalshi and 68% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 81% favourite still loses 19% of the time.
When and where is North Dakota State at Hawai'i?
15 November 2026, at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.