Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · Falcon Stadium
San José State at Air Force
We have Air Force at 86.0% and San José State at 14.0%.
Ratings going in: Air Force 1798, San José State 1528, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 5°C, wind 15 km/h (gusts 18).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Air Force | San José State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 79.6% | 20.4% |
| Polymarket | 80.5% | 19.5% |
| Kalshi | 81.0% | 19.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: San José State LWLLW, Air Force WWLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win San José State at Air Force?
PodiumOracle's model makes Air Force the favourite at 86%, with San José State at 14%. The markets give Air Force 81% on Polymarket, 81% on Kalshi and 80% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 86% favourite still loses 14% of the time.
When and where is San José State at Air Force?
15 November 2026, at Falcon Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.