Week 11 · 12 Nov 2026 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Sacramento State at Central Michigan
We have Central Michigan at 85.0% and Sacramento State at 15.0%.
Ratings going in: Central Michigan 1633, Sacramento State 1377, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 7°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 21).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Central Michigan | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 87.8% | 12.2% |
| Polymarket | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| Kalshi | 90.0% | 10.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Sacramento State LLLWL, Central Michigan WLLLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Sacramento State at Central Michigan?
PodiumOracle's model makes Central Michigan the favourite at 85%, with Sacramento State at 15%. The markets give Central Michigan 89% on Polymarket, 89% on Kalshi and 88% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 85% favourite still loses 15% of the time.
When and where is Sacramento State at Central Michigan?
12 November 2026, at Kelly/Shorts Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.