Week 11 · 12 Nov 2026 · Glass Bowl
Massachusetts at Toledo
We have Toledo at 92.9% and Massachusetts at 7.1%.
Ratings going in: Toledo 1791, Massachusetts 1390, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 10°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 25).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Toledo | Massachusetts |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 92.9% | 7.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Polymarket | 83.5% | 16.5% |
| Kalshi | 83.5% | 16.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Massachusetts LLLLW, Toledo WLWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Massachusetts at Toledo?
PodiumOracle's model makes Toledo the favourite at 93%, with Massachusetts at 7%. The markets give Toledo 84% on Polymarket, 84% on Kalshi and 83% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 93% favourite still loses 7% of the time.
When and where is Massachusetts at Toledo?
12 November 2026, at Glass Bowl (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.