Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
App State at Marshall
We have Marshall at 74.7% and App State at 25.4%.
Ratings going in: Marshall 1705, App State 1562, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 3°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 8).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Marshall | App State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 74.7% | 25.4% |
| Kalshi | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: App State LWWLL, Marshall LLWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win App State at Marshall?
PodiumOracle's model makes Marshall the favourite at 75%, with App State at 25%. The markets give Marshall 48% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 75% favourite still loses 25% of the time.
When and where is App State at Marshall?
14 November 2026, at Joan C. Edwards Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.