Week 10 · 8 Nov 2026 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Liberty at New Mexico State
Liberty 30 – 14 New Mexico State · Liberty won. We had New Mexico State at 15.8% and Liberty at 84.2%.
Ratings before the game: New Mexico State 1477, Liberty 1813, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 11°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 7).
The betting market (closing spread) had New Mexico State at 17.5%, spread +14.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | New Mexico State | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 15.8% | 84.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 15.3% | 84.7% |
| Polymarket | 14.5% | 85.5% |
| Kalshi | 13.5% | 86.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Liberty WWWWW, New Mexico State LWLWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Liberty at New Mexico State?
Liberty won 30–14 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Liberty 84%.