Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Plaster Sports Complex
New Mexico State at Missouri State
We have Missouri State at 60.7% and New Mexico State at 39.3%.
Ratings going in: Missouri State 1492, New Mexico State 1462, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 10°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 6).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Missouri State | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Polymarket | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Kalshi | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: New Mexico State WLWLL, Missouri State LWLWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win New Mexico State at Missouri State?
PodiumOracle's model makes Missouri State the favourite at 61%, with New Mexico State at 39%. The markets give Missouri State 52% on Polymarket, 52% on Kalshi and 53% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 61% favourite still loses 39% of the time.
When and where is New Mexico State at Missouri State?
14 November 2026, at Plaster Sports Complex (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.