Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Williams Stadium (VA)
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
We have Liberty at 88.5% and Middle Tennessee at 11.5%.
Ratings going in: Liberty 1828, Middle Tennessee 1518, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 8°C, wind 19 km/h (gusts 27).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Liberty | Middle Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 90.5% | 9.4% |
| Polymarket | 91.5% | 8.5% |
| Kalshi | 91.5% | 8.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Middle Tennessee LWWLW, Liberty WWWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Middle Tennessee at Liberty?
PodiumOracle's model makes Liberty the favourite at 89%, with Middle Tennessee at 11%. The markets give Liberty 92% on Polymarket, 92% on Kalshi and 91% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 89% favourite still loses 11% of the time.
When and where is Middle Tennessee at Liberty?
14 November 2026, at Williams Stadium (VA) (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.